Age patterns of migration (cont.)

What is the age pattern of migration?

In a classical study, Louis Castro, Andrei Rogers & Frans Willlekens at IIASA, collected data on age specific migration rates from 17 countries in the Comparative Migration and Settlement Study.

The Figure bellow shows a common "shape" for migration in and out of two European cities.

Pattern of migration

Castro et al. discovered some basic regularities in shape.

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  • a descending slope from age 0
  • a trough between age 10 and 15
  • a sharp ascent between 15 and 20
  • a peak between 20 and 25
  • descending rates to about 50 or 55

After these ages they found: more or less constant rates; or increasing rates at older ages; or another small peak around 65.