References

Alkema L., A. E. Raftery, P. Gerland, S. J. Clark, F. Pelletier, T. Buettner and G. K. Heilig (2011) Probabilistic projections of the total fertility rate for all countries, Demography 48(3):815-839. doi: 10.1007/s13524-011-0040-5

Bongaarts, J. and R. A. Bulatao, eds. (2000) Beyond Six Billion: Forecasting the World Population. Washington DC: National Academy Press. http://www.nap.edu/catalog/9828.html external link

Brass, W. (1974) Perspectives in population prediction: illustrated by the statistics of England and Wales, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, A 137(4): 532-583.

Keyfitz, N. (1981) The limits to population forecasting. Population and Development Review 7: 579-593

Lee, R. D. & Carter L. R. (1992) Modeling and forecasting U.S. mortality. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 87(419) 659-671. doi: 10.1080/01621459.1992.10475265

Lutz, W., Vaupel, J.W. & Ahlburg, D. A., eds. (1998) Frontiers of Population Forecasting. Supplement to Population and Development Review, vol. 24. New York: The Population Council. Available online from JStor: http://www.jstor.org/stable/i330210 external link

Lutz, W. & Samir KC. (2010) Dimensions of global population projections: what do we know about future population trends and structures?, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society, B 365: 2779-2791. doi:10.1098/rstb.2010.0133 external link

O'Neill, B. C., D. Balk, M. Brickman, & M. Ezra (2001) A guide to global population projections, Demographic Research 4: 203-288 doi:10.4054/DemRes.2001.4.8 external link

Office for National Statistics (2013) National Population Projections, 2012-based projections. http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/rel/npp/national-population-projections/2012-based-projections/index.html external link

Preston, S. H., P. Heuveline, and M. Guillot (2001) Demography: Measuring and Modelling Population Processes. Oxford: Blackwell.

Raftery, A. E., J. L. Chunn, P. Gerland, and H. Ševčíková (2013) Bayesian probabilistic projections of life expectancy for all countries, Demography 50: 777-801. doi: 10.1007/s13524-012-0193-x

Raymer, J. and A. Rogers (2008) Applying model migration schedules to represent age-specific migration flows, in J. Raymer and F. Willekens (eds.) International Migration in Europe. John Wiley & Sons, pp. 175-192.

Rogers, A. and L. Castro (1982) Model schedules in multistate demographic analysis, in A. Rogers and K. C. Land (eds.) Multidimensional Mathematical Demography, Academic Press, pp. 113-154.

Rogers, A. and K. C. Land, eds. (1982) Multidimensional Mathematical Demography. Academic Press.

Samir KC, B. Barakat, A. Goujon, V. Skirbekk, W. Sanderson, and W. Lutz (2010) Projection of populations by level of educational attainment, age, and sex for 120 countries for 2005-2050, Demographic Research 22: 383-472. doi:10.4054/DemRes.2010.22.15 external link

UN Population Division (2013) World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision. http://esa.un.org/wpp/ external link

Zaba, B. (1985) A parameterized procedure for projecting population, in International Population Conference, Florence, 1985. Volume 4, pp. 137-150. Liege: International Union for the Scientific Study of Population.